This affectionate song perfectly matches the "ordinary but warm" love story of the couple. Relatives and friends at the wedding scene raised their mobile phones to record this precious moment, and the couple was even more moved.In addition to singing blessings, Wu Kequn’s team was also very considerate, and followed the etiquette and customs to present 999 yuan to the couple, which means "a long time" and the details were warm.
"We also temporarily moved up the wedding for two hours for this matter, abandoning empty mirror shooting, location shooting and rehearsal." The bride said that the airborne wedding was a beautiful "two-way trip". The couple’s pure love story touched the team, and Wu Kequn’s surprise appeared, which also endowed the wedding with unforgettable commemorative significance.
It is worth mentioning that,During the National Day,Kenji WuHe also performed at the 14th Midou Music Festival in Lishui, Nanjing, where he not only sang your legend and other classic tracks, but also announced that he would donate 100,000 yuan to children in need in Nanjing.He also rushed to attend the 2025 Suzhou Houlang Yuanqi Forest Music Festival.
According to public information, Wu Kequn, born in Taiwan, China in October 1979, is a male singer and actor. His representative works include your legend and Writing Poems for You.
Mouth gun upgrade! Cameron VS wonder woman controversy enters Round 4.
Two "wonder woman"
1905 movie network news After getting good results at the box office, he became the king of topics. Earlier, Cameron had expressed his opinion on Wonder Woman, which aroused the director’s dissatisfaction and sent a reply. Recently, lynda carter, a former "wonder woman" actor, joined in and directly hit back at Cameron. "James Cameron, stop messing around. Your soul is pitiful. Maybe you can’t understand the role of wonder woman at all. " At the same time, Carter took the opportunity to reaffirm Gal Gadot’s contribution. "You are a great director, and Patty’s reply is really a little thoughtless, but the film is just right, and Gal Gadot is also excellent. Mr. Cameron, I have been visualizing this corner for more than 40 years, and you should stop. "
Lynda carter choked Cameron on social platforms.
Earlier, director James Cameron said: "All the smug praise has been misled.’ wonder woman’ is still a materialized woman, and the male-dominated Hollywood has not changed. It’s not that I don’t like this film, but for me, it’s a retrogression. " He also used the role of Sarah Connor as an example to explain his point of view. "Sarah is not beautiful, but she is very powerful. She was troubled and a bad mother, but her tenacious vitality finally won the respect of the audience. For me, shaping a character like Sarah has obvious benefits. After all, half of the audience are women. "
Regarding Cameron’s attitude, Wonder Woman’s director Patty Jenkins wrote a reply to Cameron: "It’s not surprising that James Cameron can’t understand’ wonder woman’. Although he is a great director, he is not a woman after all."
directorPatty Jenkins’s response.
Recently, Cameron once again responded to this question when accepting foreign media THR, saying that he thinks Wonder Woman is a good film, but there is no breakthrough in the female role in the film. In the interview, he said: "I still insist on this view (‘wonder woman’ is a materialized woman). Gado is Miss Israel, and she is wearing a corset-style uniform that fits perfectly. Of course, she is very beautiful. But for me, this is nothing groundbreaking. As early as the 1960 s, Raquel Welch (who starred in "The Revenge of the Female Gunner", etc.) played a similar role. "
Director Cameron
Regarding the question of director Patty, he wants to applaud Hollywood for "letting" female directors direct commercial blockbusters, but he doesn’t think the film has any initiative. "I don’t think Hollywood knows how to shoot the female characters in commercial blockbusters well. They have cracked the drama, but when they make commercial action movies, they immediately want to attract 14-year-old or 18-year-old male audiences.
What I said before may be a little too simple, but I won’t take it back. I will add a little detail: in terms of gender, wonder woman overtook the male characters in the film, which I like very much and is very interesting. "
Now, the old version of "wonder woman" has joined in, and it seems that this controversy may not stop for a while. For Hollywood, which is still dominated by male chauvinism, Cameron’s view is really worth pondering, but we can’t deny Gal Gadot’s successful portrayal of the role of "wonder woman".
Why did the central bank intensively cut interest rates？ Can the mortgage be repaid less？ What kind of signal is transmitted？
BEIJING, June 17 (Zhongxin Finance Gong Hongyu) Policy interest rates have been lowered one after another! After the 7-day reverse repurchase (OMO) operating interest rate and the standing loan facility (SLF) interest rate were lowered by 10 basis points on June 13th, the medium-term loan facility (MLF) interest rate was also lowered by 10 basis points on the 15th. Analysts expect that the loan market quotation rate (LPR) to be announced on the 20th may also be adjusted.
Why did the central bank intensively cut interest rates at this time? What kind of signal is transmitted? Can the mortgage be paid less again?
On June 15th, 7 days reverse repurchase operation interest rate and MLF interest rate.
Interest rate "linkage" reduction
According to the morning news of the central bank official website on 13th, the central bank launched the reverse repurchase operation of 2 billion yuan by way of interest rate bidding, and the interest rate dropped to 1.9%. On the evening of 13th, the central bank announced the latest SLF interest rate table. After the SLF interest rate is lowered, the overnight variety is 2.75%, the 7-day variety is 2.90%, and the one-month variety is 3.25%. On the 15th, the central bank launched a medium-term loan facility of 237 billion yuan, and the winning bid rate of MLF dropped to 2.65%.
June 13th, SLF interest rate table.
Why are the interest rates of various varieties adjusted? What is the difference between different interest rates? In fact, these three types of interest rates are all important components of China’s policy interest rate system. Among them, OMO is a short-term monetary policy tool, MLF is a monetary policy tool to provide medium-term base money, and SLF is a normal liquidity supply channel for the central bank.
Behind the collective downward adjustment, it reflects the "linkage" relationship behind various interest rates. Zhou Maohua, a macro researcher in the financial market department of China Everbright Bank, told the media that the central bank’s recent interest rate cut action is to pass the "reverse repurchase rate — Interest rate corridor ceiling interest rate (SLF)— MLF interest rate — Loan market quoted interest rate (LPR)— The transmission mechanism of loan interest rate.
From the historical experience, the spread between 7-day SLF interest rate and OMO interest rate is 100 basis points. The MLF interest rate often fluctuates in the same direction and amplitude with the OMO and SLF interest rates. Therefore, after the OMO adjustment on the 13th, it is generally believed in the industry that the interest rate decline of SLF and MLF belongs to the expected adjustment.
Why is the interest rate cut after ten months at this time?
Before this round of adjustment, the interest rates of OMO, SLF and MLF have all remained unchanged for ten consecutive months, and the last change was on August 15, 2022.
Why cut interest rates after many months? Just recently, when Yi Gang, governor of the central bank, went to Shanghai for investigation, he pointed out that the People’s Bank of China will continue to implement a prudent monetary policy accurately and forcefully, strengthen countercyclical adjustment, fully support the real economy, promote full employment, and maintain currency stability and financial stability.
Under the current economic background, experts believe that this round of central bank’s "three arrows in one go" interest rate cut is an action to strengthen countercyclical adjustment, releasing a positive signal to support the real economy, which is conducive to guiding market expectations and boosting confidence.
According to the latest financial data released by the central bank, although the current credit and social financing increments remain stable overall, they still need to be boosted. In May, the scale of social financing increased by 1.56 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.31 trillion yuan; RMB loans increased by 1.36 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 541.8 billion yuan.
In addition, from the perspective of price level, the national consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and only increased by 0.2% year-on-year, which was lower than market expectations.
Dong Ximiao, chief researcher of Zhaolian, said in an interview with Zhongxin Finance that since the beginning of this year, China’s macro-economy has recovered, but the recovery situation is not stable enough, the confidence and expectations of market players are still weak, and some small and medium-sized enterprises have not yet got out of the Woods.
Dong Ximiao mentioned that the central bank lowered the 7-day reverse repurchase operating rate on the 13th, conveying signs that the policy interest rate has loosened. Subsequently, SLF and MLF interest rates also fell by 10 basis points. The decline in policy interest rates will help to further reduce the cost of bank funds.
Yang Delong, chief economist of Qianhai Open Source Fund, believes that the central bank’s interest rate cut will help reduce the interest rate burden of corporate and personal loans, and at the same time promote the inflow of funds into the investment and consumption fields, and stimulate economic recovery.
If LPR is lowered, can the mortgage be repaid less?
With the downward adjustment of MLF interest rate, LPR, as the next link of interest rate transmission, is also considered to be likely to be lowered this month.
Dong Xiwei said that this round of central bank interest rate adjustment, superimposed on the deposit interest rate has been lowered several times since September 2022, and the bank’s debt cost has declined, which makes LPR expected to end its "inaction" for nine consecutive months this month.Or it will drop by 5 to 10 basis points.
It is worth mentioning that if LPR is lowered, the loan interest rate closely linked to LPR is also expected to usher in a new wave of adjustment. Dong Ximiao mentioned that the downward adjustment of LPR is conducive to promoting the stable and healthy development of the real estate market.Interest rates on existing mortgages and new mortgages will both fall, reducing the burden on housing consumers.It also helps boost residents’ consumption and investment.
In view of the current economic operation, Dong Ximiao believes that the next step is to take targeted measures as soon as possible to stabilize the expectations of market participants, boost their confidence and further boost consumption and investment. (End)
During the ＂Golden Week＂, gold hit a new high. Why didn’t merchants dare to stock up？
Text/Zhao Bin
"Golden Week" gold performance is outstanding.
Since October 1st, the price of gold has been rising continuously. After the the New York Mercantile Exchange gold futures price reached a record of 3,923.3 USD/oz on October 2nd, the London gold futures price also reached a record of 3,896.6 USD/oz on October 2nd, and then it was adjusted back.
Domestic gold prices also performed well. China Gold Investment Gold Bar reported 907 yuan/gram, and Shanghai Gold Exchange reported 874 yuan/gram. The prices of gold jewelry of many domestic gold jewelry brands have remained at a high level without obvious fluctuation. Zhou Shengsheng, Lukfook Jewelry and Golden Supreme all quoted 1129 yuan/gram.
However, when institutions, experts and market sentiment at home and abroad are bullish on the price of gold, some merchants who sell gold ornaments, as people who deal with gold every day, are quite cautious and dare not hoard gold easily.
Behind the skyrocketing gold in the "Golden Week"
The role of structural factors such as the Fed’s interest rate cuts and geopolitical risks on the gold price has been released for many days. Why did this "Golden Week" gold suddenly surge?
Wang Hongying, president of China (Hongkong) Financial Derivatives Investment Research Institute, said in an interview with China News Service, China Express that the direct cause of this wave of rise in the gold market is that global gold market investment professionals predict that the probability of further interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October will exceed 90%. The Fed’s decision to cut interest rates is undoubtedly the key "catalyst" to push up the price of gold. It is widely expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates once or twice this year, which has greatly promoted the continuous rise of gold prices. The effects of these factors on the rise of gold prices are still being released, which is one of the reasons why the market generally sees more gold prices.
In addition to the Fed’s expectation of interest rate cuts, the continuous escalation of geopolitical conflicts has also added fire to the rise in gold prices. The suspension of the US government has damaged credit and intensified the risk aversion of the market. At the same time, the US government announced that it would allow the export of long-range missiles with a range of more than 1,000 kilometers to Ukraine, which further aggravated the geopolitical conflict. Israel’s interception of international aid organizations to Gaza at sea also directly contributed to the sharp rise in the price of gold.
In addition, Europe suddenly announced a 50% tariff on imported steel, indicating that Europe officially opened a geopolitical and military game, which led to a rapid rise in gold risk aversion in the short term.
Zhao Qingming, vice president of Huiguan Information Research Institute, pointed out in an interview with China News Service that the main reason for the current increase in gold prices lies in the bullish atmosphere formed by bullish sentiment in the market. Judging from the past, it is difficult to explain the rise of gold price in the last two years with the pricing model formed in the past. There is a consistent trend of bullish and bullish gold in the market, which drives the price of gold to keep rising and hit a new high.
When emotions become one of the factors that push up the price of gold, there is a possibility of "pass the parcel" in the capital invested in the gold market, and the cash withdrawn from the gold market by the profit-makers must be contributed by the loss-making investors.
Geopolitics and monetary policy are "double-edged swords"
Although the gold market is currently bullish, the downside risk cannot be ignored.
Wang Hongying believes that, at present, there are not too many driving forces leading to the decline of gold, and the short-term pullback caused by profit settlement and selling will still occur with high probability. Specifically, the easing of international geopolitical and military conflicts may lead to the departure of safe-haven funds, or the Federal Reserve’s failure to cut interest rates further in view of the current job market and inflation level may trigger a gold price correction.
Since February 2022, geopolitical risk has been the most important factor driving the rise of gold prices. Judging from the current media reports, there is a great possibility that the situation in the Middle East and the Ukrainian crisis will lead to peace and geopolitical risks will drop significantly. Once geopolitical risks cool down significantly, the price of gold may fall by thousands of dollars.
In addition, although the weakening of the US dollar is good for the gold price at present, the reversal of the trend of the US dollar as a global reserve currency may also have a major impact on the gold price. Investors need to be alert to the risk of profit-taking by bulls, and rational investment is the long-term way.
Long-term bullish and short-term volatility coexist in the future.
There are different views on the future trend of gold, but the long-term bullish voice dominates.
Wang Hongying believes that under the background of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut cycle, in theory, there is still a long overall rise time for gold in the future. From a technical point of view, the price of gold has broken through the historical key pressure level and is oscillating upward towards the technical rising position of 4000 US dollars per ounce. Although the possibility of a short-term decline cannot be ruled out, it is likely to maintain an upward posture for a long time to come.
UBS released a report saying that the gold market tends to be bullish at present, and it is expected that the price of gold will rise to $4,200 per ounce by mid-2026.
Xu Ying, chief analyst of macro strategy of Dongzheng Derivatives Research Institute, also said that the Fed cut interest rates again in September, which started the second half of the interest rate cut cycle. The market expects that there will still be two interest rate cuts in the fourth quarter, which will lead to the rising prices of assets such as gold.
However, short-term fluctuations cannot be ignored. Pan Helin, a member of the Committee of Experts on Information and Communication Economy of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, expressed his concern about the fall of gold prices when interviewed by China News Service.
He believes that the price of gold is currently at a high level, and does not rule out the risk of falling back in the short term. Historically, the gold bull market appeared in stages, but every time it surged, there were certain restrictions. Even if there is a saying that the bull market is hard to say, it remains to be seen how high this wave is.
Interestingly, in this wave of rising gold prices, some merchants selling gold ornaments are quite cautious. During the National Day holiday, media reporters visited Shenzhen Shuibei Market and several brand gold ornaments stores and found that although the price of gold continued to rise, merchants did not dare to hoard gold easily.
"When the price of gold is high, we dare not prepare too much, because the higher the price, the higher the risk of inventory (the price of gold falls)." Manager Chen of a gold jewelry store in Shuibei Market said, "We are now adopting the strategy of’ buy back as much as we sell’. As long as there is profit, we will buy gold materials to keep our position and will not easily increase our inventory."
Steady investment to avoid blindly following suit
As a gold jewelry merchant who deals with gold the most, why do you hold such a cautious attitude towards gold when all walks of life once saw more gold?
Among them, there is not only the general cognition that "the higher the price, the greater the risk", but also the consideration of operational safety.
Wu Fei, the major shareholder of a gold shop in Jinan, Shandong Province, said in an interview with China News Service that he is also adding positions when investing in gold from a personal point of view, but as a gold shop operator, he considers the profit rate and cash flow in the long run, not the benefits brought by the premium. Therefore, the skyrocketing gold price has brought greater financial pressure to the operation of gold shops, and they are also more cautious.
Therefore, Zhao Qingming said that based on the function of gold itself and its own situation, it is judged whether to invest in gold and how to allocate it. Gold, like stocks and bonds, is a very important part of asset allocation. Of course, if gold is the main investment object, this is different from asset allocation. At present, as we can see that the price of gold may rise to 3900-4000 USD, especially when there is a pullback, it is not necessary to enter the market at present, but we must set a stop loss and participate in investing in gold within our personal tolerance.
Reporting/feedback
The pre-sale price is 159,900-199,900 yuan. Chery Fengyun T9 opens the pre-sale.
On April 18th, Chery officially opened the pre-sale, with the pre-sale price of 15.99-19.99 million yuan. The new car will be equipped with Kunpeng Super C-DM hybrid system and positioned as a medium-sized SUV. The main audience of Chery Fengyun T9 is young family members, so it has achieved the leading level in configuration, including L2+ intelligent assisted driving and 15.6-inch central control panel.
In terms of appearance, Chery Fengyun T9 also follows the family-style design style, but as a representative of the new model, the car does not use the conventional air intake grille, but adopts a fully enclosed shape with vertical decoration. As a whole, it still looks very futuristic.
In terms of lamp group, the new car adopts the traditional headlight group shape, and the overall area is not large, but it has a small and magical feeling. In addition, the shape of the front bumper is also full of strength and fashion, and the design of the side vents is also recognized by many young consumers. In order to ensure the air intake effect, the air intake grille is still reserved in the middle of the front bumper, but it is also hidden, which does not affect the overall feeling of the car at all.
In terms of body size, the length, width and height of the new car are 4795x1930x1738mm, and the wheelbase is 2770mm, positioning medium-sized SUVs, and launching five-seat and seven-seat models for consumers to choose from. Chery Fengyun T9′ s body side modeling is simple and fashionable, without too many lines, which is more in line with the scene of family use.
The new car will use the design of hidden door handles, and with 20-inch wheels, which will give this car a different luxury atmosphere, and the large-size wheels will also bring better passability and comfort. The tail window has a tightened shape, which also increases the vitality of the whole car.
The design of the rear part looks more rounded and full as a whole, adopting the shape of a through taillight group, and creating a multi-dimensional three-dimensional effect through the multi-angle combination of lines. The light group adopts a transparent lampshade, and uses a black background and a red light strip to match, which invisibly increases the sense of movement and mystery at the rear of the car.
The design of the rear bumper is also in line with the Chinese people’s understanding of symmetrical aesthetics. Although it is a hybrid model, the exhaust is concealed, and the decoration of the rear bumper is also symmetrical, and the decorative board is decorated with rhombic lattice patterns, which is still very attractive.
Chery Fengyun T9 uses a minimalist design style in the interior. There are almost no physical buttons in the car, and more functions are integrated into the 15.6-inch central control screen. The new car will use the gear shifting mode, thus leaving more space for the central passage.
The flat-bottomed sports steering wheel uses a two-color mix and match, and the feel performance is also excellent. The multi-function buttons are designed with a touch screen, which has a strong sense of technology. In addition, the car will also be equipped with the W-HUD head-up display function, so that the driver can better observe the driving situation of the vehicle, thus improving the driving safety.
In terms of configuration, the new car will be equipped with Qualcomm Snapdragon 8155 car standard chip, and the operation fluency of the whole screen is still very high, and it supports online entertainment, online navigation, mobile phone interconnection, voice interaction, APP download, OTA upgrade and other functions, and it also has 540 transparent chassis, SONY stereo, 256-color ambient lights and other configurations.
Because of the design of the fender, there is more space in the central passage. The front end is the wireless charging panel of the mobile phone, the back is the water cup holder with the cover, and the back is one of the few key control areas in the car, which can control the driving mode of the vehicle, the driving mode and the defogging function of the window.
Chery Fengyun T9′ s front seats are designed with more reasonable ergonomics, and the materials and shapes are further improved, even reaching the leapfrog level. The seat can support many practical functions, such as electric adjustment, seat heating, ventilation, massage and so on, thus improving the comfort when driving.
The realization of the overall space in the rear row is also very satisfactory. The backrest angle and cushion length of the rear seat are very in line with the needs of Chinese people. Moreover, the second row of seats in the car also uses electric adjustment, even the comfortable boarding function. The second row of seats is also equipped, which is really luxurious.
The car will provide five-seat and seven-seat models for everyone to choose from. After the third row of seats is opened, the seating space is more conventional, and there is storage space in the trunk. In addition, the car is equipped with two or three rows of one-button reclining, and 12 seat combinations are provided to meet the use needs of consumers.
In terms of power, the Chery Fengyun T9 will be equipped with a 1.5T hybrid special engine and a single motor. The comprehensive maximum power of the system is 265kW and the comprehensive maximum torque is 530 N m.. Using DHT and 3-speed DHT gearbox, the comprehensive cruising range is over 1400km, and the fuel consumption of WLTC is 5.2L per 100 km.
In terms of chassis, the new car will provide HDS chassis hydraulic vibration isolation system, as well as CDC electromagnetic suspension and intelligent electric shock absorber, which will make the whole car more comfortable and luxurious to drive. These configurations are also rare in the same class.
Chery Fengyun T9 has only started the pre-sale at present, and the final listing price should still fluctuate. However, from the perspective of vehicle configuration and technology, this car pays more attention to practicality, which is also very in line with the positioning of the car. The new car will also come to the #2024 Beijing Auto Show # site. If you like it, you might as well come to the site for a quick look.
What happened to the brake failure of electric vehicles？
1. Brake system failure: Brake pads may not work normally due to brakes, brake fluid or corrosion.
2. Electrical system failure: For example, circuit failure such as brake switch and brake light switch causes ECU to fail to receive brake signal and misjudge it as normal driving state.
3. Mechanical failure: For example, the brake lever and connector are loose or damaged, resulting in the brake system not working normally.
4. Software problem: There may be a fault in the ECU of the vehicle or a problem in the software program, resulting in the brake system not working normally.
5. Tire problems: For example, insufficient tire pressure and serious tire wear may lead to poor braking effect or even failure of the vehicle.
＂Up Boys＂ The brave girl told school bullying that the best education is to teach by example.
"Safety" is the basis for the healthy life and growth of teenagers, and it has attracted more and more attention from all walks of life. This week, Hunan Satellite TV’s first youth growth and vitality challenge plan, "Go Up, Teenagers", takes safety as the theme, and the design of elevator game is still going on. How will teenagers cope with the small security challenge tonight? What kind of wonderful collision will parents’ parenting methods have with the youth support group?
The girl proves herself to the "patron saint" father.
Brave girl was once killed by school bullying.
Ma Yirui is 10 years old this year, but she said that her father "overprotected" her, hoping to prove to her father that there are many things she can "do by herself" through challenges. Father Ma, on the other hand, suggested that he would like to be his daughter’s "protector" and protect his children from harm at any time. When asked by the Youth Support Group how he usually gets along with his daughter, Ma Dad said, for example, that he would never let his children touch the electric plug, always let them walk on their right side, and even help them stop eating hot pot.
Fu Seoul said that it was really "difficult to talk" with Ma Dad. Lan Hai, an expert in growth education, said that Father Ma has created a "vacuum environment" for his children, all of which are safe. Ma Yirui, however, is full of confidence, hoping to challenge success and stop his father from overprotecting himself. Can she successfully complete the small security challenge?
As soon as Qu Ziyan came to power, she said that there was nothing in the world that frightened her. She wanted to "get through all the customs" and let her mother let go. Qu Ziyan also brought her "mascot" lizard model to the challenge site, and Haofei Li, the upward navigator, said that she should be a "very bold person". However, the brave Qu Ziyan was "bullied" by his classmates at school. What is the story behind this? How should parents and children deal with the school bullying problem?
Anxious mother worried about Mengwa
Self-disciplined teenagers regard their mothers as role models.
While confident boy Qu Junfan boasted that he would be successful, Qu Mama, who was sitting in the observation room, started the anxiety mode. It turned out that Qu Junfan had an accident when he was born and lived in the neonatal emergency room, which made Qu’s mother always feel guilty about Qu Junfan. As a result, she is very attached to her son in daily life and is "excessively worried" in every move. What made Qu Junfan unable to resist the temptation in the process of crossing the border? I have been trying my best to finish the task quickly and gradually feel anxious. Fu Seoul, a member of the help group, said: Parents’ anxiety is easily transmitted to their children, and it is also disturbing to be in an anxious world all the time. Can Qu Junfan achieve his mother’s expectations?
Peng Zihan, a young man wearing camouflage clothes and loving challenges, went on stage with an iron will. He got up at five o’clock in the morning to run and cook breakfast. His mother said that Peng Zihan was independent and would have no problem getting through the customs. In fact, Peng Zihan was influenced by his mother Peng, who set an example. Lan Hai, an education expert, said: Self-discipline must be the result of children’s parents’ words and deeds. Peng Zihan’s brilliant performance in Shaoguan attracted praise from the help group.
This week, the security challenge is still going on, and the theme of "security" should be deeply rooted in the hearts of the people in family education. Every Sunday to Thursday at 7: 30 pm, Hunan Satellite TV’s "Go Up, Boys".
Reporting/feedback
Typhoon Teli is approaching Guangdong, and typhoon warnings have come into effect in 67 cities and counties.
CCTV News:According to the "Guangdong weather" in Weibo, influenced by Typhoon Taili, Zhanjiang took the lead in launching the highest level of typhoon warning — — Typhoon red warning. Lianjiang, Leizhou, Wuchuan, Suixi and Xuwen followed closely, and they are also taking effect simultaneously.
As of 09: 24, typhoon warnings (6 red, 5 orange, 13 yellow, 23 blue and 20 white) have come into effect in 67 cities and counties in Guangdong. Please pay attention to your vigilance. As Typhoon Taili approaches, there will be further typhoon warning signal upgrades in coastal cities and counties. Please pay attention to the changes of local weather warning signals:
1. Listen, watch or check the typhoon warning information online in time;
2. Close the doors and windows and fasten the structures that are easily blown by the wind;
3. Move from the dilapidated house to a safe place;
4. People in low-lying areas that may be flooded should be transferred in time;
5. Check whether the facilities such as circuit, fire and gas are safe;
6. Open-air collective activities or indoor large-scale gatherings should be cancelled in time, and evacuation should be done;
8. Don’t travel to the area where the typhoon passes or swim on the beach, let alone go out to sea by boat.
Jin Canrong： The United States may not dare to risk military intervention in the Taiwan Strait.
Recently, the United States has frequently provoked China on the Taiwan Province issue. US President Biden said that the United States will "defend Taiwan Province", US Secretary of State Blinken issued a statement "supporting Taiwan Province’s meaningful participation in the United Nations system", and the United States also invited Taiwan Province to participate in the so-called "Global Democracy Summit".The signal from the United States not only fuels the ambition of the Democratic Progressive Party authorities, but also makes the Taiwan Strait issue constantly controversial and discussed in the international community.
Why does the United States play the "Taiwan Province card" frequently? Will the United States intervene militarily in Taiwan Province? Why does Japan always make inappropriate remarks on the Taiwan Province issue? Is it a dead end for Democratic Progressive Party to "rely on the United States for independence"? Recently, Jin Canrong, a professor at China Renmin University, accepted an exclusive interview with a reporter from the People’s Political Consultative Conference.
Why is the United States keen on the "Taiwan Province brand"?
Reporter: Why does the United States always waver in its China policy?
Jin CanrongWithin the US government, the attitude towards China is not uniform. Biden’s team is divided into two factions: one represented by importers from Wall Street and the United States, and the other represented by the military-industrial complex. One faction, represented by importers from Wall Street and the United States, has gained great benefits in economic cooperation with China, so they hope that China and the United States can ease tensions and strengthen cooperation; The military-industrial complex has gained $768 billion in defense budget and a large number of military orders by advocating the "China threat theory", and "confronting China" has become the wealth password of the military-industrial complex.
As president, Biden’s political authority is not enough, so he can’t fully control the team. Therefore, the US policy toward China has two sides: on the one hand, events such as Meng Wanzhou’s return to China and the US’s plan to re-exempt some China’s imports from tariffs reveal the signal of easing relations between the two countries; On the other hand, the US Department of Commerce blacklisted a large number of China entities, constantly moved around Xinjiang-related issues, and frequently provoked the Taiwan Province issue, which reflected the tension between China and the United States.
Reporter: What is the value of Taiwan Province to the United States?
Jin CanrongThe United States believes that Taiwan Province has four values. First, strategic value. Taiwan Province is located at the core of the first island chain, and the United States believes that controlling Taiwan Province is the key factor to block China’s military power and curb the rise of China. Second, the alliance value. The United States has an alliance system, with 58 allied countries signing up, in addition to areas like Taiwan Province. The United States is a little worried that if Taiwan Province returns to the motherland, its prestige in the alliance system will decline. Third, economic value. For example, TSMC’s position in the global supply chain is very important and has certain economic value. Fourth, the model value. The United States hopes to use Taiwan Province as a model of "American democracy" and influence the political development of the mainland.
Reporter: Will the United States intervene in Taiwan Province through military means?
Jin CanrongThere are three schools of opinion in the United States on whether to intervene in Taiwan Province through military means:
The first faction clearly wants to intervene. This view is mainly held by the Republican right wing and individual senior military officials, with a small number.
The second faction thinks that Taiwan Province should be "sold" at a good price. Their main point is to make a deal with Chinese mainland in time and "sell" Taiwan Province to China when the comprehensive national strength of the United States is stronger than that of China and it also has great influence on Taiwan Province.
The third faction turned Taiwan Province into a "poisonous frog" and raised the cost of Chinese mainland’s reunification. The main means is not to intervene directly, but to make the "Taiwan independence" elements very powerful, leading to a dilemma for the mainland. There are many supporters of this faction. According to the report "The Poison Frog Strategy" issued by the Center for New American Security (CNAS), an American think tank, assuming that the mainland "attacks Taiwan by force", the United States "has almost no" reliable options to deal with it. Therefore, it is the best way to stop Chinese mainland before it acts. The US and Taiwan authorities should immediately start multilateral coordination and establish a "credible deterrent force".
I infer that the United States will not intervene in the Taiwan Province issue by military means, because almost half of the GDP of the United States at this stage is supported by financial-related industries. The most important thing in the financial industry is credit, and the GDP of the United States is based on the credit that the United States is the world’s number one power. At present, the US military is not sure about fighting the China People’s Liberation Army. If the military action fails, it will directly shake the credibility of the United States. This is not a matter of interest for the United States, but a matter of life and death, so the United States will not take this risk.
Why does the Japanese always want to intervene in the Taiwan Province issue?
Reporter: The "poison frog strategy" of the United States points out that the cooperation between the United States and Japan on the Taiwan Province issue is very important. Why does Japan also like to play the "Taiwan Province card"?
Jin CanrongTaiwan Province is far more important to Japan than Taiwan Province is to the United States. Taiwan Province is valuable to the United States, but this value is limited. For Japan, the change of the situation in the Taiwan Strait may be related to the life and death of the whole country of Japan.
As an island country with very limited resources, Japan is highly dependent on foreign trade. The Taiwan Province Strait is just one of the most important shipping lanes in Japan. If the two sides are unified and the Taiwan Province Strait becomes the internal sea of China, it will be equivalent to choking Japan’s foreign trade.
In addition, historically, Japan occupied Taiwan Province for 50 years after treaty of shimonoseki. During its occupation of Taiwan Province, on the one hand, it carried out a lot of de-China education, constantly slandering China culture and Chinese, which has influenced many Taiwan Province people to this day. On the other hand, the Japanese government also consciously arranged for a group of Japanese to immigrate to Taiwan Province. These people are also the backbone of today’s "Taiwan independence" forces, calling themselves "the backbone and soul of Taiwan". Conceptually, they feel that although they were born in Taiwan Province, they are Japanese in spirit and have close contacts with Japan.
The dual influence of interests and historical reasons makes Japan pay more attention to the Taiwan Province issue than the United States, and often makes some inappropriate remarks about it.
Reporter: Does it mean that Japan is also a big threat on the Taiwan Province issue?
Jin CanrongMy point is that we can criticize some inappropriate remarks made by Japan, but we don’t need to be overly nervous, because Japan is powerless to deal with the Taiwan Province issue, and militarily, Japan does not have complete combat capability.
With the development of Internet, the current war form has moved from "land, sea and air" to "sky grid" and from limited space to infinite space. In the infinite space, it is China, Russia and the United States that really have complete combat capability, and other countries do not have this capability. Although Japan has dozens of satellites, it cannot form a complete combat system. If Japan wants to fight, it must rely on the help of the United States. Therefore, whether or not Japan will take action on the Taiwan Province issue depends entirely on the United States, not on itself.
民进党“倚美谋独”是死路一条
记者：民进党当局强调美方“对台承诺”和反对“单方面改变现状”，并再次鼓噪所谓“四个坚持”，原因何在？
Jin Canrong：现在的民进党当局心里很焦虑。台湾问题是一个“两国三方”游戏，“两国”是中国和美国，“三方”是中国大陆、中国台湾、美国。近年来，中国大陆主导台湾问题的能力明显上升，民进党很清楚单靠自己的力量无法改变现状，所以要尽可能地迎合美国，反复提醒美国“以台制华”。
记者：民进党为何热衷炒作“台独”话题？
Jin Canrong：民进党一直以来都坚持拒绝放弃“台独党纲”，拒绝承认“九二共识”，导致两岸关系出现僵局。民进党炒作“台独”话题主要有以下几个原因：第一是选举利益，第二是意识形态，第三是国际势力的操纵。选举利益上，通过煽动“台独”主张，民进党可以获得更多选票；意识形态上，“让台湾独立”已经成了民进党骨干分子的人生理想；国际势力上，民进党的很多高层都是接受过美国训练的，很容易被美国操纵。
Reporter: Is Democratic Progressive Party using the people of Taiwan Province as "hostages"?
Jin CanrongChinese mainland has always been very concerned about the people of Taiwan Province, and this concern was exploited by Democratic Progressive Party. Democratic Progressive Party’s current behavior is to kidnap the whole people of Taiwan Province as hostages, so that Chinese mainland can get the boat. Among the people in Taiwan Province, the proportion of truly determined "Taiwan independence" elements is not high, but under the long-term propaganda of Democratic Progressive Party, two-thirds of the people in Taiwan Province have begun to be "green", and these "green" people in Taiwan Province are still important sons and daughters of China to the central government of China, and they need to win the hearts of the people.
Therefore, we have been communicating with the people of Taiwan Province to win their hearts and minds. Although cross-strait relations seem tense at present, even a little military confrontation, cross-strait exchange activities have been held all the time, because we are willing to strive for the prospect of peaceful reunification with the greatest sincerity and efforts.
Source: People’s Political Consultative Conference Daily (05th edition, January 8, 2022)
Media reporter:Guo Siqi is Lin Hui.
Editor: Gao Yang
New Media Editor: Xue Jing
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