分类： bb

　　This newspaper (reporter Lu Xianfeng) "guarantees the original authenticity, supports the domestic counter inspection, and the first order is 10% off, and the price is close to the people, first come first served." Recently, a citizen bought a "Rolex" watch online after seeing the above-mentioned commodity advertisement in the WeChat circle of friends, but he did not expect to be defrauded. After the incident, the police launched an investigation and arrested the suspect in time.

　　Recently, when Mr. Xu brushed his circle of friends, he found a friend named "a genuine watch shop" selling a Rolex watch. In addition to the watch pictures, the other party also showed a lot of warranty pictures. After seeing the advertisement, Mr. Xu communicated with the other party through WeChat. The other party said that it has been selling all kinds of second-hand watches for a long time, especially Rolex watches, and the price is favorable to new customers. As long as you pay on the same day, you can enjoy a 10% discount. During the communication, Mr. Xu took a fancy to a Rolex watch and agreed on the price with the other party. The other party asked Mr. Xu to pay a deposit of 4,000 yuan first. Mr. Xu was eager to buy the watch and called the deposit to the other party at one time without thinking. The other party said it would deliver the goods immediately, but Mr. Xu waited for nearly a month and still didn’t receive the watch. After checking the express information, he learned that the other party didn’t deliver the goods at all. There was something wrong with the consciousness. Mr. Xu asked the other party for a refund, but the other party not only ignored it, but also blacked it out.

　　After learning that he was cheated, Mr. Xu alerted the police station in the new district of Jinghai Branch of the Public Security Bureau. After investigation, the police quickly locked in the true identity of "a genuine watch shop": 27-year-old man Zhao from Sanming City, Fujian Province. On March 2, the police handling the case arrested Zhao in Sanming City. It turned out that Zhao had been unemployed. In 2016, he was imprisoned for committing fraud. After he was released from prison, he returned to his old business and used social platforms and App to publish advertisements for selling luxury goods at low prices to attract netizens to buy and thus defraud the deposit. After interrogation, the criminal suspect Zhao confessed to the fact that he used the Internet to download pictures of luxury goods, fabricated the identity of an online shop owner, and defrauded the victim Mr. Xu of 4,000 yuan by selling goods and paying a deposit.

　　At present, the criminal suspect Zhao has been taken criminal compulsory measures according to law for alleged fraud, and the case is under further investigation.

CCTV News:On March 27th, WeChat official account released the opinions of the Ministry of Culture and Tourism on promoting the high-quality development of the online travel market. The opinion pointed out that innovative tourism financial services. Implement the relevant policies of the Notice on Financial Support for Culture and the Recovery and Development of Tourism Industry, promote the cooperation between banks and other financial institutions and operators of online travel platforms, comprehensively consider the digital management and control capabilities of online travel platforms and the operation and credit of small and micro operators in the platforms, and provide industrial chain financial services such as comprehensive credit, business loans, equipment credit sales, credit loans, financial leasing and factoring for small and micro operators in the platforms; Strengthen the innovation of tourism consumer financial products, provide tourists with convenient consumer financial services, such as installment loans, micro-consumer credit, pay after traveling first, increase the publicity and compliance education of tourism consumer financial products, and stimulate the financial support ability and consumption pulling ability of online travel platforms.

　　Opinions of the Ministry of Culture and Tourism on Promoting the High-quality Development of Online Tourism Market

　　Online tourism management service is a key link in the tourism industry chain, and it is an important force to meet the travel needs of the broad masses of people, promote tourism consumption and promote the development of the tourism industry. In order to further strengthen the management of online travel market, protect the legitimate rights and interests of tourists, give play to the positive role of online travel platform operators in integrating tourism resources such as transportation, accommodation, catering, sightseeing and entertainment, promote all kinds of tourism operators to share development dividends, and promote the high-quality development of tourism, we hereby put forward the following opinions:

　　I. General requirements

　　(A) the guiding ideology

　　Adhere to the guidance of the Supreme Leader’s Socialism with Chinese characteristics Thought in the new era, fully implement the spirit of the 20th Party Congress, implement the decision-making arrangements of the CPC Central Committee on accelerating the construction of a network power and digital China, build a new development pattern based on the new development stage, implement new development concepts, take promoting high-quality development as the theme, deepen the supply-side structural reform as the main line, and meet the people’s growing needs for a better life as the fundamental purpose. Give full play to the decisive role of the market in resource allocation, give better play to the role of the government, make good use of various bail-out policies, mobilize positive market factors, vigorously develop the digital economy, deepen the development of smart tourism, improve the level of normalized supervision, and support online travel platform operators to show their talents in leading development and creating jobs. Adhere to the safety bottom line, strengthen industry self-discipline and promote the high-quality development of online travel market.

　　(2) Basic principles

　　Adhere to the safety bottom line.Establish a firm bottom line thinking, adhere to the socialist core values, adhere to the personal and property safety of tourists, information content security, network security, and strengthen the industry governance system and governance capacity building.

　　Adhere to the people-oriented principle.Guided by the needs of tourists, we will constantly enrich the types and contents of services, create accurate, professional and characteristic service products, and strive to meet the diverse and personalized tourism service needs of the people.

　　Adhere to coordinated development.Protect the legitimate rights and interests of tourists, build a benign industrial ecology between online travel platform operators, operators within the platform and tourists, guide online travel platform operators to develop in coordination with travel agencies, transportation, accommodation, catering, sightseeing, entertainment and other related operators, promote the efficient allocation of resources, and promote the prosperity and development of tourism.

　　Adhere to innovation and lead.Deepen the digital, networked and intelligent development of online travel industry, promote the application of new technologies, encourage industry innovation, give full play to the advantages of online travel operators’ data and information capabilities, improve the digital level of the industry, and provide intelligent services for tourists.

　　(III) Main objectives

　　Give full play to the hub and leading role of online tourism, accelerate the development of smart tourism, promote the innovation and development of tourism, promote the application and iterative innovation of new technologies, create more new employment forms and new jobs, become a new engine for upgrading the tourism industry and stimulating tourism consumption, enhance the digital level of industry management, and promote the development of online tourism industry in China to be in the leading position in the world.

　　Second, focus on work and create a good market environment

　　(1) Strengthen content security audit.Guide online travel platform operators to strengthen the qualification audit of operators in the platform, verify the authenticity of information such as market entities and administrative licensing qualifications, and record and save the performance of travel contracts and complaint handling. Supervise online travel platform operators and operators within the platform to strengthen the training of auditors, the construction of network security level protection and the review of information content such as words, pictures, audio and video to ensure the safety of platform information content.

　　(two) to build a solid production safety bottom line.Online travel operators are required to improve the safety production management system and emergency plan, do a good job in risk monitoring and safety assessment of tourism products or services on the shelves, strengthen product safety guarantee from early warning identification, algorithm recommendation, report processing, content review, risk warning and other links, and verify products that involve a large number of tourists, are easy to cause crowd gathering, may have potential safety risks or have concentrated complaints from tourists in advance. In the event of an emergency or tourism safety accident, necessary measures should be taken immediately, and relevant departments should be cooperated to do a good job in rescue, investigation and after-treatment work.

　　(three) to protect the legitimate rights and interests of tourists.Implement laws, regulations and policy requirements such as the Tourism Law of the People’s Republic of China, the Law of People’s Republic of China (PRC) on the Protection of Consumers’ Rights and Interests, the Law of the People’s Republic of China on Electronic Commerce, the Regulations of Travel Agencies, and the Interim Provisions on the Management of Online Travel Services, guide online travel operators to operate in good faith and compete fairly, and improve the quality of tourism products and services. Strengthen the protection of tourists’ sensitive personal information, prevent the collection of tourists’ personal information beyond reasonable business needs, and take practical measures to avoid big data killing, false propaganda, false reservations and other violations of tourists’ rights and interests. Strengthen the monitoring, discovery, judgment and disposal of illegal products such as engaging in travel agency business activities without permission and "unreasonable low-cost travel", maintain normal industry order, and effectively protect the legitimate rights and interests of tourists.

　　(4) Promoting the coordinated development of industries.Standardize the cooperation mode between online travel platform operators and operators within the platform to achieve coordinated and benign development. Guide the online travel platform operators to reasonably determine the service fees such as payment and settlement, platform commission, etc., negotiate and fully communicate with the operators in the platform on an equal footing, drive and support the development of the operators in the platform, reduce the operating costs of the operators in the platform, and give certain labels to star-rated tourist hotels, A-level tourist attractions, grade-rated tourist homestays, national tourist and leisure cities and blocks, national tourist resorts, national night culture and tourism consumption gathering areas, national ski resorts, national key rural tourism villages and towns and high-quality small and micro businesses. Give full play to the advantages of online tourism operators in factor resource integration and product development, participate in the development of boutique tourism routes and theme tourism routes such as intangible cultural heritage, sports and culture, and participate in the promotion and promotion of red tourism, rural tourism, research tourism, eco-tourism, ice and snow tourism, marine tourism, recreational tourism, elderly tourism and camping tourism. Guide online travel operators to actively participate in tourism market promotion activities and the exhibition of tourism public service advertising works, and carry out publicity and guidance of new tourism concepts.

　　Three, improve the supervision means, standardize the market order according to law.

　　(1) Strengthen market supervision and inspection.Establish and improve the industrial chain supervision mechanism with online travel platform operators as the core, improve the closed-loop supervision mechanism such as network inspection, dynamic monitoring, briefing, administrative guidance, administrative interview and problem transfer, promote the construction of online travel products and service standards, and standardize the online travel market order. Focus on inspecting the security of online travel service information content, engaging in travel agency business activities without permission, selling "unreasonable low-cost travel" products, illegally collecting and using users’ personal information, etc., and reminding, warning and stopping online travel operators with problems through administrative interviews and administrative guidance, and promptly handing over clues of illegal acts to law enforcement departments for investigation and punishment.

　　(2) Strengthen supervision and inspection of law enforcement.Cultural and tourism administrative departments at all levels shall, in accordance with the principle of online and offline integrated supervision, establish a supervision and management system for daily inspection, regular inspection and joint inspection with relevant departments, supervise and inspect online tourism business services according to law, and investigate and deal with illegal acts. Strengthen the online travel market "double random, one open" law enforcement supervision, timely, accurate and standardized public spot checks, spot checks plans and results. Explore the establishment of case consultation, joint law enforcement and joint disciplinary mechanisms to achieve full chain supervision before and after the event. Strengthen social supervision, explore the supervision mechanism involving the public and third-party professional institutions, and promote the openness and transparency of online travel operators’ compliance.

　　(3) Improve the efficiency of credit supervision.Strengthen and improve credit supervision, implement management measures for untrustworthy subjects according to laws and regulations, and strengthen the deterrent effect of credit supervision. Organize enterprise credit evaluation and promote hierarchical supervision. Encourage online travel operators to take the initiative to make credit commitments to the society and incorporate the trustworthiness into the quality rating. Strengthen the construction of integrity culture in online travel industry and establish a number of typical enterprises with integrity. Support online travel operators to participate in the pilot work of "credit economy" development and give full play to the data advantages of online travel platforms.

　　(4) Improve the efficiency of digital supervision.We will improve the "good and bad reviews" system for government services in the cultural and tourism markets, improve the incentive mechanism for good reviews and the supervision mechanism for handling bad reviews, and promote the "one network to handle" business-related matters. Relying on the national tourism supervision service platform, we will build an online tourism informatization supervision mechanism with full business coverage, full information tracking and dynamic adjustment of means, and establish a non-contact supervision mechanism such as online discovery and circulation of illegal clues. Through the national cultural market technical supervision and service platform, the clues of reporting complaints are classified and disposed of, and the market entities are urged to rectify in time according to law, and the illegal clues are handed over to the local law enforcement departments for investigation. Carry out risk monitoring, identification, analysis, response and disposal of online travel market, timely release risk warning information, promote online travel operators to use standardized travel electronic contracts, promote the implementation of the "Tourism Electronic Contract Management and Service Specification" standard, and strengthen the collection and sharing of regulatory information.

　　Fourth, strengthen support and guidance to promote the high-quality development of the industry

　　(1) Make good use of the bail-out support policies.Guide online travel operators to make good use of the support policies for the recovery and development of culture and tourism. Do a good job in the implementation of inclusive tax reduction and fee reduction policies in the tourism field, and encourage banking financial institutions to reasonably increase the effective credit supply of online travel operators. Intensify policy propaganda and interpretation, guide online travel platform operators to use network technology to push preferential policies related to enterprises to operators in the platform. Make good use of financial incentives, project investment, consumption promotion, government services and other measures to support online travel operators to participate in cultural and tourism consumption activities to benefit the people and enhance their confidence in development.

　　(B) innovative tourism financial services.Implement the relevant policies of the Notice on Financial Support for Culture and the Recovery and Development of Tourism Industry, promote the cooperation between banks and other financial institutions and operators of online travel platforms, comprehensively consider the digital management and control capabilities of online travel platforms and the operation and credit of small and micro operators in the platforms, and provide industrial chain financial services such as comprehensive credit, business loans, equipment credit sales, credit loans, financial leasing and factoring for small and micro operators in the platforms; Strengthen the innovation of tourism consumer financial products, provide tourists with convenient consumer financial services, such as installment loans, micro-consumer credit, pay after traveling first, increase the publicity and compliance education of tourism consumer financial products, and stimulate the financial support ability and consumption pulling ability of online travel platforms.

　　(3) Explore the platform to operate the tourism pre-sale business.Explore online travel platform operators with the ability of business process digitalization and supplier credit evaluation to operate the pre-sale business of tourism products according to law, standardize the pre-sale business of tourism products of operators within the platform, and further strengthen the digital management level of the industrial chain. Supervise and urge online travel operators to earnestly fulfill their commitment to give priority to reimbursement, the obligation to review suppliers and products, and the obligation to return and change tourism products, strengthen the supervision of pre-sale funds, and prevent and control potential risks such as over-sales, difficulties in performance and fund-raising fraud.

　　(4) Leading the innovation and development of the industry.Promote online travel operators to deeply apply new technologies such as 5G, artificial intelligence, big data, cloud computing and blockchain, and lead the industry’s innovation and development with technology. Support online travel platform operators to undertake the new infrastructure functions of tourism services, guide the optimal allocation of tourism resources, carry out innovative integration of formats with products and content as carriers, empower small and medium-sized tourism operators to innovate and develop, and promote the digital transformation and upgrading of tourism operators. Promote the digital marketing of online tourism, support online travel operators to carry out online travel exhibition activities by using webcasting and short video platforms, develop online digital experience products, create new scenes of immersive travel experience, cultivate new spaces for immersive experience of smart tourism, and promote rural revitalization, integration of cultural tourism, civilized tourism and tourism public services. Support online travel operators to strengthen cooperation with national night culture and tourism consumption gathering areas and national foreign cultural and trade bases.

　　(5) Strengthen the construction of industry organizations.Support online travel operators to set up industry associations, promote industry self-discipline, and urge relevant operators to operate in compliance with laws and regulations. Give play to the role of trade associations in rights protection, dispute settlement and credit construction. Encourage industry associations to participate in the formulation of national standards, industry standards, self-discipline conventions, and carry out personnel training, market development research, organization and exchange. Promote the introduction of online travel industry and product specifications and other related standards. Support online travel operators to formulate enterprise standards that are conducive to improving the quality of products and services. Focus on content safety, production safety, epidemic prevention and control, etc., and strengthen the training of online tour operators and managers. Guide online travel operators to play a role in the process of tourism standardization and internationalization.

　　Original title: It costs $15,000 to stay in a blank room for one night, and the stars are still snapping it up. What are the rich thinking?

　　Author: MISS

　　This is the most expensive hotel in new york, but the decoration looks so "poor"? There is a hotel in Greenwich Street, new york. Its red brick wall looks just like the surrounding buildings, but it is besieged by paparazzi all the year round. Obama raised more than 500,000 US dollars for the election here, and Beyonce, Taylor Swift, Tom Cruise, Blake Lively, jennifer lopez and other big-name stars regard this place as their second home.

　　Greenwich Hotel is a member of Liding World. It is not only expensive, but also quite different from the general Lidingshi Hotel. The top suite in the hotel is almost a embryo room, which not only costs 15 thousand dollars a night, but also is difficult to book all the year round. Generally, people who can live in this room are not small players.

　　This blank room is called TriBeCa loft suite. To say its greatest achievement, it should be that it has set off a wave of silence. After Mr. Kanye and kim kardashian lived together, they invited a co-designer to spend $20 million to renovate their luxurious house into a plain cement house, which is simpler than minimalism and colder than sexual indifference.

　　Contemporary people’s aesthetics began to pay attention to removing complexity and simplifying, and now it has become the mainstream to follow the aesthetic culture of "at the beginning of everything, the road is simple".

　　This room tells you what "the worse you get, the richer you get"

　　This suite is on the top floor of the hotel, with an area of about 632 square meters, of which 260 square meters is indoor and 372 square meters is outdoor space. There are three bedrooms, two bathrooms, living room, kitchen and fireplace. There are two outdoor open-air gardens, a barbecue area and a warm water spa pool.

　　Deep to light gray, brown and white are the keynote colors of the whole space, and the clean layout provides a display position for a large number of artworks. This is not so much a guest room as an exhibition hall. Most furniture and works of art are antiques collected by designers from all over the world, and the cheapest piece of art is worth 3 thousand dollars.

　　The wind of silence is a Zen concept, which holds that true beauty is defective, incomplete and temporary, and will disappear like life. Poor things, such as a table with rough workmanship or a happy-burning tea bowl, reflect this concept.

　　Stone, old wood, ceramics, linen products and rattan products, which are more simple and return to the original state, are common elements in the lonely wind. The seemingly random stone fireplace is actually carved with reference to the architectural structure of the Louvre. The iron grate is made of joist hangers used in the original structure of the Louvre Museum.

　　From the ceiling, beams to doors, to corridor panels, the wood in the whole hotel can be traced back to various periods. The boards on the ceiling are remnants of the civil war that were salvaged from the nearby farmers’ market. The wood of the headboard was originally a walnut desktop in the 19th century.

　　Bathtubs and double basin sinks are made of stone sinks in the 17th century. On the outer layer, you can see the traces left by the weathering of stones over time, while the interior is smoothed. Therefore, the real lonely wind is not just posed casually with these elements, but is actually quite particular about selection and design.

　　In addition to works of art that have a history, designers will deliberately make old ones. He ordered some furniture, the most special one being the bronze handle. It was cast according to the grip marks on his hand, leaving a personal mark unconsciously.

　　Walking out, it is a private double-deck terrace with a special roof, overlooking the Hudson River from the lush garden. Copper gourd chandelier is hung on the pergola frame surrounded by wisteria, which is reconstructed from the original copper roof material of the building.

　　There is also an outdoor wood-burning fireplace in the garden, which can accommodate 18 people.

　　There are countless luxury hotels in new york, but it’s easy to find one with a swimming pool. Greenwich Hotel is one of them. The swimming pool also overflows with silent aesthetics. It is surrounded by a fence of a 250-year-old Japanese farmhouse. The farmhouse was assembled by a Japanese craftsman. No nail was used in the whole process, but it was fixed by ancient knotting techniques. Now there are only three people left in Japan who know this knot-tying technique. Retaining time and remembering the past is a feeling that can often be felt in the aesthetics of silence.

　　Indulge in the highest realm of old things

　　This suite makes the rich fall in love with the lonely wind and makes the designer more known. He is Axel Vervoordt, the great god of interior design in Belgium. As mentioned earlier, the designer who renovated Kanye’s mansion is him. Before providing design solutions for the rich, he also rebuilt a 16th century castle and a dilapidated brewery.

　　However, whenever labeling him, he is reluctant to admit that he is a designer, but prefers to call himself a collector and curator. At the age of 21, he bought a surrealist painter rene magritte’s painting La mémoire in 1948 for $2,400, and later sold it at a high price of $50,000. Since then, he has been active in the field of art purchase and collection with a unique aesthetic vision, and his love and interest have become a lifelong career.

　　

　　

　　Vervoordt fell in love with it when he was collecting antique furniture in Asia in the 1970s, and since then it has been vigorously promoted in the West.

　　For this kind of purism, Vervoordt prefers to define his own style as "rural minimalism". He opposes too many useless pretenses, removes the redundant parts and keeps the most essential ones.

　　At that time, the hotel owner invited Axel Vervoordt to design this top loft suite immediately after seeing Wabi Inspirations written by him.

　　Oscar winner+hotel madman+senior diners = Robert De Niro

　　The recent popularity of The Irishman has brought Robert De Niro, the best actor, back into our sight. He also has an identity-a real hotel madman. Yes, the Greenwich Hotel is his.

　　Before the establishment of Greenwich Hotel, as a veteran diner, he found Michelin chef Matsuhisa Shinsuke, and the two hit it off and founded the brand NOBU, which integrates food and hotels, and now there are ten in the world.

　　Recently, they opened a resort hotel Nobu Hotel Los Cabos in Mexico. MISS introduced it just a week ago. Friends who want to try NOBU restaurant can go to JW Marriott Hotel in Beijing first, which has the only NOBU restaurant in China at present.

　　

　　The old man’s love for the hotel can be said to be passionate. After the operation of Greenwich Hotel, he announced that he would open The Wellington Hotel in Covent Garden, London, with 83 rooms, a spa and two restaurants. It was originally planned to start construction in 2017 and open in 2019 if approved by the government.

　　It will also open a 2373-acre resort in Antigua and Barbuda, a Central American island country between the Caribbean and the Atlantic Ocean, and build 77 water houses, a spa and four restaurants.

　　

　　However, among these hotels, the Greenwich Hotel is the one that De Niro put the most effort into. Tribeca 10013, where the hotel is located, was once the most expensive postal area in the United States. De Niro’s love for this neighborhood has accumulated for a long time. First, he opened a restaurant here, The Tribeca Grill, then he opened his own film production company next door and finally opened the Greenwich Hotel.

　　De Niro was born into an artist’s family in new york. His parents divorced at the age of two, and he lived with his mother in Greenwich Village. There are many paintings in the public area of the hotel belonging to De Niro’s father. It can be said that this hotel has many spiritual sustenance for him.

　　The basic room type also starts from 5780 yuan.

　　Greenwich Hotel has 88 rooms and suites, but each room is different.

　　Not to mention the Tribeca loft suite with a price of $15,000 a night, the basic room type is RMB 5,780. It’s not cheap to carry a piece of furniture alone, such as beds of Swedish royal brand Duxiana, hand-woven Tibetan silk carpets and British leather benches.

　　There are also many attractions in public areas. The songkhla and marble floor in the lobby were inspired by the 14th century Italian palace. An Italian family business copied this style and molded each tile by hand.

　　In honor of his father, De Niro decorated his abstract paintings in the hotel.

　　The Locanda Verde restaurant serves Italian food all day. The ceiling is made of 90,000 corks collected by the Canadian Girl Guides and a stone named Goshen Schist, which has a history of more than 400 million years and can only be found in two quarries in Massachusetts and Peru.

　　Architecturally, the hotel is just around the corner of the street, but De Niro hopes that the corner can be slightly rounded. So he asked David Rockwell to customize a double-decker window, which smoothed out the sharpness. Make this corner also a punch point.

1905 movie network news "The universe is infinite, and the messenger has traces" is officially launched. Tang Zhijun, the editor-in-chief of "Shendao", Qin Cairong, Sun Yitong, a "weird" poet, and Xiaoxiao, an alien fanatic, are assembled, and the journey to find alien life will start on the same day. The film was officially released nationwide on April 1st. On the first day of its release, the film won the audience’s favor with its overwhelming reputation. This film, called "Broadening the Boundaries of China’s Science Fiction Films", has attracted the attention and recognition of all parties. "This film is a love letter for the explorer", "Exploring the universe is the reflection of exploring life, which is a treasure-class film" and "The film is absurd but profound, and after laughing, it begins to seriously think about the meaning of life".

On April 1st, the Editorial Department of Space Exploration also released the "astronaut" notice, which spanned two eras. The young Tang Zhijun was full of energy and believed in the truth that aliens must exist. Tang Zhijun, who is over half a century old, fell from the sky with the help of a crane in a spacesuit, adding a sense of absurdity. Where does this dramatic spacesuit end up? Full of suspense.

Aspect 1: the hilarious journey is absurd science fiction! A rugged journey in search of aliens

Have you ever seen aliens? Do you know where I can find aliens? Do you know how to communicate with aliens? The film "Space Exploration Editorial Department" may be able to answer your questions about alien life. The film "Cosmic Exploration Editorial Department" tells an absurd story about the earth people and aliens running thousands of miles away. Tang Zhijun, editor-in-chief of Cosmic Exploration Editorial Department, is down and out, but he believes in the existence of alien life and has been obsessed with finding extraterrestrial civilization for decades. Finally, one day, he received an abnormal signal that was suspected to come from the depths of the universe, so he called we are both unhappy — to the sky’s end’s partners, and once again set foot on the journey of finding aliens with that problem that puzzled him all his life. Mysterious signal from alien civilization? Villagers freeze aliens in their own freezers? Waiting for a bird in the countryside farmland? A "psycho" group party? Tang Zhijun, editor-in-chief of Shendao, Qin Cairong, Sun Yitong, a strange poet, and Xiaoxiao, an alien fanatic, all kinds of strange and cocoa-loving characters appeared one after another, and all kinds of funny plots made people laugh.

With science fiction as the core and comedy as the shell, the film presents a southwest adventure without losing truth in absurdity and truth in fantasy. As a "divine film", the director set a unique style of "serious nonsense" at the beginning of his creation: "The story was inspired by a social news that villagers found wild aliens frozen in their refrigerators, and was moved by the sense of humor conveyed by the news, which was right in their own bad taste." At the same time, the film is full of retro trends in the 1980s and 1990s. In that era full of strange ideas, together with elements such as Qigong fever and UFO fever, it is humorous and wonderful. The story of the film itself has a deep connection with The Journey to the West. Director Kong Dashan once revealed: "From the stage of script creation, it was deliberately done, and a certain spiritual core of the ancient mythical novel The Journey to the West was interpreted from a modern perspective. The story of the film is similar to that of The Journey to the West, and it is all about a person who has great ambitions, takes his partner and embarks on a journey to find answers. The audience can understand it as a story of contemporary The Journey to the West."

Aspect 2: Seek the answer and explore the heart! Absurd but warm and healing tear emotional core

Behind the stars is the universe of more than 10 billion years, and behind the journey is a dusty past. Like "learning from the West", a group of people in the editorial department of Space Exploration experienced all kinds of difficulties and obstacles in their journey to find aliens, but at the end of the journey, they made the audience laugh and cry. From the search for aliens to the search for the meaning of life, what seems absurd in Cosmic Exploration Editorial Department is the thinking about "love". No matter how grand the universe is, it is ultimately the love between people, whether it is the miss of editor-in-chief Tang for his daughter or the companionship of his companions on the road together, it is the embodiment of love. Director Kong Dashan said: "We are human beings, and we can only explore the universe with our limited ability. We can’t know what the end of the universe looks like, and only emotions can explain everything that can’t be explained." As many viewers said to the main creator: "The film touches the emotional core with a small view. On the surface, it is a sci-fi film full of whimsy. The core is to show the relationship between people. This is a film about love."

The film "Cosmic Exploration Editorial Department" aims at the countryside with a plain lens, focusing on ordinary people, making the vast universe no longer unattainable, using various expressions close to life to show sci-fi elements, and also making every audience feel when ordinary people enter the universe and enter the unknown world. This plot of standing in the field and looking up at the stars makes the audience feel more substituted. As the audience said, "It lightly depicts some joy and some heaviness, but it will also leave ripples in your heart. The film is far away from the high technology of the city. In the dusty countryside and the fields with infinite scenery, it tells the eternal yearning and pursuit of a group of people for the universe, civilization and science. " The film "Cosmic Exploration Editorial Department" puts such a grand topic of the universe around each of us, which is even more shocking and makes everyone dare to dream and explore.

Aspect 3: Top with super quality team! Core creative team escort

The film "Cosmic Exploration Editorial Department" went through a four-year production cycle, in which two years were carefully polished by screenwriters Kong Dashan and Wang Yitong, and two years were spent shooting and producing. As a young director’s first feature film, Kong Dashan was escorted by the core creative team of science fiction film The Wandering Earth series. The director of The Wandering Earth’s series of films and the director affectionately called "Ball Dad" by fans jointly acted as the producer of the film "Cosmic Exploration Editorial Department", and joined the behind-the-scenes team from the stage of film script creation, deeply participating in it and giving away their accumulated film creation experience. In addition, the producer of The Wandering Earth series continues to be the producer in "Small Universe", and the core special effects companies of The Wandering Earth series, MORE VFX and Orange Vision, also join in the escort for the special effects of the film, striving to present a visual scene with texture in the film.

"Cosmic Exploration Editorial Department explored another possibility of China’s science fiction" Director Frant Gwo once commented on the film. Unlike the grand visual sci-fi genre film, Cosmic Exploration Editorial Department explored inward and explored the relationship between people and the world and life. As director Frant Gwo commented on the film: "The most attractive thing about the film is that everyone will gain different feelings, and everyone is Tang Zhijun in the film." Thanks to the support of his predecessors, director Kong Dashan was also grateful. He also revealed a secret of the film: "The spacesuit in the movie is the one worn by teacher The Wandering Earth. Thank you very much for the free loan from director Frant Gwo."

Aspect 4: the annual masterpiece is a high-scoring film! Multi-platform word-of-mouth leads the way to make friends at the end of the universe

In 2019, the script of "Cosmic Exploration Editorial Department" won the "Best Original Script Award" from China Science Fiction Conference Science Fiction Film Venture Capital Association. Once the project was launched, it attracted wide attention in the industry. In 2021, "Cosmic Exploration Editorial Department" showed its true meaning for the first time at Pingyao International Film Festival, and gained a lot of praise and audience expectations on major platforms in China. At present, Douban scored 8.7, and won four awards in the 5th Pingyao International Film Festival, namely, Fei Mu Honored Best Film, the most popular film of Hidden Dragon Unit, Youth Jury Honor and Fans Choice Honor. Won the Best Actress Award in the 46th Hong Kong International Film Festival Rookie Film Competition and the Firebird Film Award; Won the 12th Beijing International Film Festival "Focus on the Future" and hope to be the most watched actor award and the most watched film award; Short-listed for the future light award of the 51st Rotterdam International Film Festival. In the face of this "legendary" high-scoring film, many fans shouted "too much expectation". At the scene of the film’s national roadshow, many viewers came here and collectively certified that they were "really not disappointed". After the screening of the film, Director Kong Dashan also expressed his anxiety: "I call such a strange film a folk science fiction, and I hope it doesn’t disappoint the audience." Fortunately, the high reputation along the way has laid a solid booster for the film creative team.Director Kong Dashan also described the film as an "electric wave system" type film: "Because I made this film, I met many strange friends who loved cocoa, because the electric waves connected everyone."

After watching the movie, many viewers expressed their excitement that they were moved by the film and gained their feelings: "The film gave me great surprises, which not only expressed people’s persistence in chasing dreams, but also deeply analyzed the future and thinking about life of mankind, which is worth calming down and savoring slowly." There are also viewers who find "self" through the film: "After watching the film, I feel relieved, as if some small things in my life have entangled me, which makes me stop obsessing and make me feel that the world is still beautiful." At the scene, there were two brushes and the audience shouted "There are still three brushes": "This is a film about’ looking for’, which is about each of us. Maybe the answer you get in the end is not important. What is important is that we gain insights during the search. " The film Cosmic Exploration Editorial Department has created more possibilities for China’s sci-fi movies with its bold and distinctive visual style, humorous plot, warm and profound emotional core and rich and detached imagination.

The film "Cosmic Exploration Editorial Department" was produced by Wang Hongwei and Frant Gwo, directed by Kong Dashan, starring Wang Yitong, Jiang Qiming and Sheng Chenchen. At present, the film is being shown in the country.

　　　　[XCAR domestic new car original]

　　　　On May 8th, the brand-new Familia M5 in Haima was officially released.The new car is divided into 1.6 automatic transmission and manual transmission, with a total of 9 models, and the price range is 74,900-11,890 yuan.The new car was officially unveiled at the Qilu Auto Show in 2014, and then a 1.5T model will be launched, which is expected to be put on the market around the end of the year.

　 　　● More visual impact.

　　　　In terms of appearance, the design of hippocampus brand-new Familia M5 and Italian design company LD’ With the cooperation of A, the brand-new appearance ensures the wind resistance coefficient of 0.28. The front face of the new car has a larger straight waterfall front air intake grille. With the new headlight design, the front face looks more visually impactful, and LED daytime running lights are also equipped at the lower fog lights. The design of taillights is also very dynamic, and the chrome decoration on the license plate frame and the design of double tail rows make the tail of the new car have a good visual effect.

　 　　● Compared with the current models, the size has increased.

　　　　In terms of body size, Familia M5 has a length, width and height of 4698/1806/1477mm and a wheelbase of 2685mm, which is much larger than the current model. The current Familia M5 has a length, width and height of 4420/1730/1480mm and a wheelbase of 2615 mm.. The wheel size is 205/55 R16, and the 16-inch double 5 aluminum rings are not too small, but the design of the rims is a bit ordinary.

　 　　● The interior works more finely.

　　　　In terms of interior, the new Familia M5 adopts two colors of black+beige and black+orange. The center console is designed in black, and the high-end models provide a central control display screen, and there is a smaller display screen above it, which can display some vehicle information. The four-position multi-function steering wheel is fashionable in modeling design, and the bright brown design is adopted at the seat and door panel, which enhances a certain texture.

　 　　● There is enough space to place items.

　　　　In terms of space, there is not much storage space in the car, but it is enough to put down the water and mobile phones around, and there is enough space in the central control, armrest box, glove box and door panel. In addition, the trunk of the new Familia M5 has a volume of 415L, and the rear seat can be laid down in 4/6 minutes.

　 　　● The new car comes standard for home use.

　　　　In terms of configuration, the new car comes standard with reversing radar, auto-sensing headlights, headlights delayed off, LED daytime running lights, rain-sensing wipers, leather multi-function steering wheel and so on. In addition, the high-end models are equipped with driving computers, automatic air conditioners, seat heating, electric skylights, etc. Safety aspects such as ESP, HHC ramp assist system and TCS traction control system will all appear.

　 　　● The 6-speed automatic manual transmission is competitive.

　　　　In terms of power, Familia M5 is equipped with a 1.6L engine in the early stage and a 1.5T engine in the later stage. The 1.6L engine adopts iVVT variable valve timing and variable intake manifold technology, with a maximum power of 92kW(125Ps)/6000rpm and a peak torque of 161Nm/4000rmp；. The 1.5T turbocharged engine, which was put on the market later, also adopted iVVT variable valve timing technology, with an estimated maximum power of 120kW(163Ps) and a peak torque of 210Nm.

　 　 In transmission, the 1.6L engine matches the 6-speed manual and 6-speed automatic manual transmission, while the 1.5T engine only matches the 6-speed automatic manual transmission. For the chassis, Familia M5 adopts the front McPherson and rear multi-link design, and both adopt the lateral stabilizer bar.

　 　 ● Competitiveness analysis

　　　　As a brand-new compact model with its own brand, the competitors of Haima’s brand-new Familia M5 are naturally BYD Speedy, Great Wall C50, Changan Yidong and Emgrand EC7.

　
[Competitors are BYD Surui, Great Wall C50, Emgrand EC7 and Changan Yidong]

　　　　Comparatively speaking, among these rivals, BYD Speedy and Great Wall C50 are equipped with 1.5T engines. In addition, Speedy also has remote control function and DCT dual clutch, which makes the brand-new Familia M5 not dominant in technology. However, Familia M5 still has certain advantages in CVT gearbox of Emgrand EC7 and 5MT of Great Wall C50. In the future, the arrival of Familia M5 1.5T model will widen this advantage and become one of the more powerful competitive models among the A+ class models of its own brand.

　　　　Editor’s comment:With the continuous expansion of Haima’s product line, Familia, once a "pillar" model, may no longer be the biggest support for Haima’s annual sales data. However, with the continuous progress and strengthening of the product itself, the promotion of its market competitiveness still gives the new generation Familia M5 a brand-new historical mission. It is only a transition from maturity to success, and it still needs to stand the test of the market.

Related content review:

On November 8, the DMH World Champion Edition was officially launched, and three new models were launched, with a guide price of 123,800-143,800 yuan. In addition, the new car has launched a "bite price", with a discount of 24,000 yuan to 99,800 yuan. After the World Champion Edition was added, the number of models on sale of Roewe D7 DMH increased to 6, with the guide price range of 123,800-145,800 yuan.

It is worth mentioning that the name of "World Champion Edition" comes from the fact that Roewe D7 DMH conducted a battery life measurement not long ago. The car successfully broke the Guinness World Record with a maximum distance of 2208.719km and an average fuel consumption as low as 2.49L per 100 km, and became the "car with the longest distance of driving with full fuel and electricity at a single time".

Despite the halo blessing of "world champion", the market performance of Roewe D7 DMH is not bright. In October, the sales volume was 2,227, ranking 90th on the car sales list. When the new car went on the market, Roewe D7 DMH was directly named after the "World Champion Edition", hoping to boost its market sales.

As an extended version, Roewe D7 DMH World Champion Edition has not been greatly adjusted in appearance, interior and configuration, but some details have been refreshed. In terms of appearance, the new car is equipped with a new style of wheels, which adds a bit of movement to the whole car. In addition, the new car has added the color of "Dawn Gold" to provide users with more choices.

In terms of size, Roewe D7 DMH World Champion Edition locates medium-sized cars, with body length, width and height of 4890/1890/1510mm, wheelbase of 2810mm and trunk volume of 450L. This size provides users with a spacious ride space, but the price of less than 100 thousand yuan has greatly improved its cost performance, which can be said to be the price of B-class cars only selling A-class cars.

In the interior part, the diamond texture of the middle and high models is changed to parallel lines, which is visually more simple, but does not lose the sense of fashion. In terms of configuration, Roewe D7 DMH World Champion Edition is equipped with a 12.3-inch central control touch screen and LCD instrument, which has the functions of voice control, continuous voice recognition, car networking, 4G WIFI, car KTV and so on. The high-equipped models provide L2-level automatic driving assistance.

In terms of power, Roewe D7 DMH adopts DMH system, equipped with 1.5L naturally aspirated engine and motor. The maximum power of the 1.5L engine is 82kW, and the maximum power of the motor is 137kW. The transmission system is matched with the first-speed DHT gearbox. The CLTC has a pure electric cruising range of 125km, a comprehensive cruising range of 1400km, and the lowest fuel consumption of WLTC is 3.95L/100km.

Comments: As an old-fashioned traditional car company in China, Roewe’s electrification transformation is still relatively positive. At present, a number of pure electric and DMH hybrid models have been launched, including the Roewe D7 DMH World Champion Edition, which was redesigned and listed this time. Although the listing of the new car has not changed much, the starting price of less than 100 thousand yuan is still sincere, which is a good choice for users who pursue practicality and long battery life.

　　Jinan

　　On the second day of the lunar new year, you must bring gifts to your parents’ home. According to the old rules, these gifts are a knife of meat (not less than four or five kilograms), two fish (fresh carp, each fish must weigh more than one kilogram, also known as "fish"), three bottles of white wine and four kilograms of snacks (egg cake, longevity cake, peach cake and ancient philosophers cake). These gifts are collectively referred to as "four-color gifts", which contain the four seasons of the year.

　　Qingdao

　　Visiting relatives from the first day of the first month. In Qingdao, "pro" and "qi" are strictly separated. On New Year’s Day, it is for important people and elders to pay New Year greetings. In the past, it was necessary to kowtow to elders, but now it is not very particular. Generally, it is just to bow and ask "Happy New Year", but aunts and cousins are not allowed to walk around on this day. On the second day of the second month, I pay a New Year call to my grandmother, when my grandmother is away, my son-in-law pays a New Year call to my mother-in-law, and on the fourth day, my unmarried but engaged daughter-in-law pays a New Year call to my future in-laws. From the fifth day of the first month, it is the day to walk around my aunts and cousins.

　　Visiting relatives and bringing gifts is called "making a basket" in Qingdao dialect, because in the past, visiting relatives used bamboo baskets that were brushed with clear oil and woven with thin bamboo strips. As for what to put in it, there is nothing special about it. Just put whatever you have at home, one or two bottles of Jimo old wine, two Bao Qing biscuits and a few apples, and that’s all. Anyway, relatives will only come up with one or two, and then press one or two back for a change, so as not to let the empty basket go back.

　　Zibo

　　When they return to their parents’ home, the girls will put the steamed bun as a basic gift into a basket, and then put four packets of snacks wrapped in red paper at the four corners of the basket, and then insert them with several sesame cakes. In this way, because the baked wheat cake is much higher than the rice basket after it is inserted empty, when the rice basket is finally covered with red bags, it looks like both festive gifts and many gifts. It indicates that the small days are full of prosperity and beauty.

　　When a daughter brings a gift to her parents, parents usually don’t return it. Parents will not accept all the gifts from their daughters, but leave them at the bottom of the basket, which means that they can’t let their daughters go home empty-handed.

　　Weifang

　　In the old days, people usually brought steamed bread, cakes, meat or two pounds of big fruit (fried dough sticks), and even better, two pounds of snacks and two pounds of loose wine. When the daughter goes back to her parents’ home, she brings a handkerchief (a general name for gifts in Weifang), in addition to snacks and wine, many also bring a white scaly fish that is "pressed in the pot" on New Year’s Eve (two white scaly fish and two tofu are put in the cooking pot on New Year’s Eve).

　　Yantai

　　String relatives, Yantai dialect is called "going out". In Yantai, the most distinctive "going out" gift for the Spring Festival is a kind of pasta called "Bobo". Every year after the 23rd day of the twelfth lunar month (that is, off-year), every family will make many "cakes". Flour needs to be kneaded many times to make it into the shape of a bird’s head and a big round body, which is called "milk cake"; Or make it into a round shape, with cut red dates all over it, which is called "jujube cake".

　　Weihai

　　Visiting relatives and friends during the Chinese New Year is usually from the second day to the fifth and sixth day, and can be extended to the fifteenth at the latest. There used to be such a jingle: "Pay homage to the fifth and sixth day of the New Year, and there is no cake and no meat." That means life is not good. If you are poor, you won’t have anything to eat on the fifth and sixth day. It doesn’t mean that you can’t visit relatives on the fifth and sixth day. Gifts brought by visiting relatives and friends are usually four cakes and a package of peach cakes. If the other person is an elder or an important relative, he will also bring a bottle of wine.

　　Tai ‘ an

　　On the second day of the second day, the new son-in-law will bring six big gifts to her in-laws’ families, and the six big gifts must be enough. There are two cocks, two fish, two bottles of wine, a back elbow and a pack of vermicelli. There is also a saying called "new three years and old three years", which means that the son-in-law who has been married for less than three years should prepare the same gift every year when he goes to his father-in-law’s house. The latter three years can be a little worse, and he can’t be casual until six years later.

　　Laiwu

　　Generally, when visiting relatives to give gifts, you should carry a basket with a dozen white-flour steamed buns and rice cakes and zongzi made by yourself. The rice cake is made like a pagoda, divided into nine layers, and each layer will be pressed with a circle of red dates. After the rice cake is steamed, the thorns of red dates are outside, bulging, and some have cracked their mouths, which looks really cute.

　　Heze

　　Generally, we go to friends’ homes, mostly before the Spring Festival, while we go to relatives’ homes, which is after the New Year. No matter where you visit, you should avoid the afternoon. Many people think it is unlucky to visit friends in the afternoon. Since you are visiting relatives and friends on holidays, you can’t go empty-handed. You always have to bring some gifts. During the Spring Festival, the most common gifts are tobacco, alcohol, sugar, tea, cakes and fruits, and some buy clothes for children of relatives and friends, and they will not forget to give them a lucky money.

　　Linyi

　　In Linyi, visiting relatives and friends in the New Year is called "going out". When you go out, you should bring some gifts. In the early 1980s, the gifts you brought were nothing more than steamed buns, vegetable bags, bean bags, vermicelli, etc. If the family conditions were good, you should put one or two carp, one or two packs of biscuits or peach cakes, and weigh one catty of sugar for the elderly.

　　Zaozhuang　

　　People often carry gifts to string relatives before the festival, which is called "send-off gift", and after the festival, it is a pure New Year greeting. There are no special rules about gifts, but the quantity must be an even number to show good luck. The main family will return some specialties such as vermicelli and vermicelli.

　　Texas

　　There is nothing special about visiting relatives to give gifts during the New Year in Texas. In the past, when the living standard was not high, the "bun basket" was the most important gift. Even when the daughter with the worst living standard goes back to her mother’s house, she should put the steamed white steamed buns, fried fruits and other foods in the basket, cover it with a clean towel on the belly of the sheep, and bring two packs of avocados (snacks) with her if she is a little better.

　　Liaocheng

　　In the past, the living conditions were not good, and the gifts given by my parents were nothing more than snacks and steamed bread, and some sugar, wine and fruit. Later, with the improvement of living standards, it was fashionable to give four-color gifts, namely wine, chicken, fish and meat, all of which must be in even numbers. Only half of the family’s things were kept and the other half was returned. In return, the bride’s family wants to send jujube flower cakes, which are quite large and silver-basin-like, which means step by step (cakes) every year. You should bring such a generous gift three years before you get married, and then you will be free.

　　Binzhou

　　In the old days, when I went back to my mother’s house, I usually brought her two Jin of steamed bread (with red dots on the steamed bread) and two Jin of dried noodles. If the family conditions were good, I would buy another Jin of cakes, put them in a basket woven with plastic strips and cover them with cloth. When she comes back, her mother’s family will leave half of what she has taken and bring the rest back by herself. This is called "leaving a leftover head". Visiting relatives is also sending steamed bread and noodles.

　　Text | China Merchants Macro Zhang Jingjing Team

　　Core view

　　Under the trend of global economic slowdown, China’s exports exceeded market expectations for two consecutive months, and the market gradually questioned the authenticity of export data. Does the export growth rate exceed expectations mean that the export data is really wet? In other words, is there really no micro-foundation for the export data in March and April? This paper attempts to answer the above questions from multiple angles and state a more objective export view on the basis of multi-dimensional analysis..

　　The main reason for the high growth rate in March and April is by no means from false reports.Judging from the export "counterfeiting" incident announced in previous years, even excluding the conventional false data, the cumulative export amount from January to April this year was as high as more than 7630 billion yuan, and the cumulative export growth rate was about 10%, which was only 0.5 percentage points lower than the cumulative export growth rate announced by the General Administration of Customs.

　　Compared with industrial export delivery value, the export volume is more representative of the real export. In March and April this year, the growth rate of export delivery value and the total export volume showed a big deviation, but this is not evidence of false export data.1) The definitions of export delivery value and total export are quite different; 2) From a long period of time, the growth rate of export delivery value and the growth rate of total exports are similar, but for a short period of time, it is not uncommon for them to deviate from each other. In many months, the growth rate of total exports is higher than that of export delivery value. 3) Compared with export delivery value, the monthly growth rate of export volume has obviously changed, which is mainly caused by the statistical method of export volume. 4) It can also be seen from the export sub-items and PMI indicators that the export in March and April did not mainly depend on the industrial enterprises on the regulations.

　　Does the deviation of import and export growth rate beyond market expectations mean that the authenticity of export data is suspicious?The main commodity structure of China’s import and export is quite different. In the case of PPI price disturbance, the growth rate of import and export often deviates, not only in March and April. Not only is there a divergence in the growth rate of imports and exports in China, but the growth rates of the United States, Japan, the European Union and South Korea, as the main final consumer goods countries, often deviate, and more often, the growth rate of imports is greater than that of exports, which is mutually evidenced by China’s role as a big producer.

　　The difference between the data published by the importing country and the data published by the importing country may be more due to statistical standards, re-export trade of some products and other factors than false reporting.1) China’s exports to Singapore and Vietnam are obviously larger than the imports from China announced by the other side, which is mainly due to the existence of entrepot trade. 2) The amount of imports from China announced by the United States and the European Union is also different from the amount of trade exported to the United States and the European Union by China. In addition to the conventional factors such as differences in statistical standards, time differences and entrepot trade, China is also a big country of final consumer goods. In recent years,’s exports to the United States-the United States imports from China and China exports to the European Union-the European Union imports from China are not the same. The possible reasons are as follows: First, American importers deliberately understate their imports from China to avoid import tariff sanctions. Compared with 2016 and 2017, the difference between China’s exports to the United States and the United States imports from China since 2018 is obvious. Second, compared with other countries, the energy crisis in Europe is more serious in 2022, and the freight for the import and export of goods is obviously higher, which directly causes the EU’s import from China-China’s export to the EU to jump sharply, and other trade exchanges such as South Korea and Europe have the same trend.

　　The reason why export performance exceeds market expectations is more the result of diversification of export commodity structure and export destination.1) The high growth rate of export in March was mainly the comprehensive result of the release of the backlog of export orders in the previous period and the effective purchase of orders abroad. In April, export delivery value jumped from-5.4% of the previous value to 0.7%, and exports were more contributed by the shipment value produced in the current period. 2) The structure of China’s main export commodities has obviously gradually moved closer to that before the epidemic, and the advantage of complete industrial chain can indeed enable enterprises to switch commodity structures to adapt to global demand in a relatively short period of time. Compared with that before the epidemic, the contribution of automobiles (including chassis) and auto parts to the total export volume has been on the rise, which has also become the main commodity driving export growth. 3) Thanks to China’s active participation in regional trade, expansion of trade network and continuous deepening of economic and trade cooperation with non-European and American countries, the "Belt and Road", ASEAN, Russia and other non-European and American countries have significantly increased the driving force for China’s export growth.

　　We believe that the shift in export growth does not mean that the export growth rate will continue to decline this year.Judging from the PMI index published in China and the export base last year, we believe that the export growth rate will change gears continuously from May to July. However, there is a high probability that the annual export growth rate will still be positive, and the export growth rate from May to December will show a trend of "falling first and then rising".

　　main body

　　One,In the past, there were indeed false reports on export data, but the main reason for the high growth rate in March and April was by no means false reports.

　　Just talking about the authenticity of the data, the State Administration of Taxation will announce the punishment of false reporting of export data and tax fraud every year, which shows that there is indeed the possibility of false reporting of export data, but it is untenable to classify the reasons for exceeding expectations in March and April as false reporting.The false export data is more for tax fraud. Since August 2018, the State Administration of Taxation, together with the Ministry of Public Security, the General Administration of Customs, the People’s Bank of China and other departments, has continued to carry out regular work to crack down on tax fraud. In the context of cracking down on export false reports, there are still criminals who falsely report export data through various means. Since the government has not published the amount of tax recovery from export tax fraud in a specific period of time in detail, we might as well calculate from the export "counterfeiting" incident announced in previous years. In April 2022, the State Taxation Bureau announced that since the special action to crack down on illegal tax fraud was launched in August 2018, by the end of March 2022, the tax authorities had recovered 34.6 billion yuan of national tax losses by investigating and dealing with illegal export tax fraud. According to this rough calculation, about 10 billion yuan of export tax rebates were recovered every year. In addition, the proportion of export tax rebate in total exports is basically maintained in the range of 8%-10%. Based on this, the accumulated amount of export false reports in January-April this year is about 34 billion-42.5 billion.Even excluding the conventional false data, the cumulative export amount from January to April this year was as high as more than 7.63 trillion yuan, and the cumulative export growth rate was about 10%, which was only 0.5 percentage points lower than the cumulative export growth rate announced by the General Administration of Customs.

　　In addition, at present, there are mainly two ways to falsely report exports: first, the government actively injects water to falsely report; second, enterprises forge export orders to defraud taxes; third, enterprises set up offshore companies or blend trading partners to defraud taxes through the continuous link of "exporting to domestic sales". We speculate that there are four reasons why the probability of large-scale false reporting of export data in March and April is small:

　　1) In March this year, the cumulative amount of export tax rebate announced by the Ministry of Finance was 553.1 billion yuan, which was significantly higher than last year’s 497.1 billion yuan. It is worth noting that the Notice of the State Council on Issues Related to Improving the Burden Mechanism of Export Tax Refund shows that since January 1, 2015, all export tax rebates (including VAT refund for export goods and VAT refund for business tax) will be borne by the central government, and the export tax rebate base originally borne by local governments in 2014 will be paid to the central government in a fixed amount. If local customs or governments cheat taxes by falsely reporting export data, they need to forge bills in multiple links. Unless the central government is willing to subsidize local governments in disguise in this way, it is difficult to escape the examination.

　　2) As mentioned earlier, even in the stricter export "counterfeiting" supervision, some enterprises still cheat tax refund by forging export orders, but there is no reason for enterprises to choose to focus on a large number of false reports in March and April, especially at present, they are in the downward period of exports, and the false reports of export orders of micro-enterprises are more likely to be suspected.

　　3) Under the background that the full invoice pilot is gradually launched and the fourth phase of golden tax is about to be launched, the tax collection and management system has gradually changed from "managing tax by votes" to "managing tax by numbers", that is, relying on big data for tax governance. Under stricter supervision, the difficulty of export tax fraud has greatly increased.

　　4) In addition to falsifying data, another common tax fraud method at this stage is "export to domestic sales", that is, setting up offshore companies or blending trading partners, exporting A goods abroad at a high price, and then importing A goods into China at a low price, thus earning the difference between export tax rebate and customs duties. Generally speaking, this method is not easy for micro enterprises to find, but from the breakdown data of commodities, we can see that among the main commodity structures of import and export, only the import prices of integrated circuits and refined oil in April are significantly lower than the export prices, and because the growth rate of import and export of integrated circuits is less than zero, even if there is tax fraud, it cannot be the main driving force for the overall export growth rate to exceed expectations. The difference between the import and export prices of refined oil products is mainly due to the downward trend of crude oil prices, which is far from the export tax fraud. Except for integrated circuits and refined oil products, the export prices of other commodities are often lower than the import prices, so the argument that a large number of export growth rates are pushed up by "exporting to domestic sales" is not established.

　　Second,Compared with industrial export delivery value, the export value is more representative of real export.

　　When observing exports, the market tends to pay more attention to two indicators: export delivery value and total exports. In March and April this year, the export growth rate of these two indicators showed a big deviation, and we don’t think this can be used as evidence to suspect that the export data is false.

　　1) The definitions of export delivery value and total exports are different.Specifically: First, the reporting period is different. export delivery value is the value of products produced in this period, handed over to foreign trade management departments or self-export in this period, while the total export value is the total value of products exported in this period, not necessarily produced in this period; Second, the statistical scope is different. export delivery value is a product (both local and foreign) produced by industrial enterprises and handed over to foreign trade management departments. The total export value is the value of products exported by all foreign trade management units and industrial enterprises. It is worth noting that some products included in export delivery value may be sold at home after being traded by foreign trade management departments, thus not being exported; Third, the calculation method is different. export delivery value only calculates the processing fee for the products processed with imported materials, while the total export amount is calculated at the full price of the exported products. Fourth, the prices are different. The products handed over to the foreign trade management department in export delivery value are calculated according to the purchase price of the foreign trade management department, and the total export amount is calculated according to the FOB price.

　　2) From a long period of time, the growth rate of export delivery value and the growth rate of total exports are similar, but in a short period of time, it is not uncommon for them to deviate from each other. In many months, the growth rate of total exports is higher than that of export delivery value.Compared with the total export volume, export delivery value’s statistical scope is smaller and it doesn’t necessarily include the completed export. Therefore, in academic research, the indicator of export delivery value is often used to examine whether the micro participates in the export, and the specific transaction behavior to measure the overall export still uses the export volume.

　　3) Compared with export delivery value, the monthly growth rate of export volume has obviously changed, which is mainly caused by the statistical method of export volume.The statistical process of import and export data of customs goods is extremely "microscopic". When the import and export goods pass through the customs, the specific consignor or consignee must declare the documents to the customs, and the customs declaration will list all kinds of basic information of the goods (such as quantity, amount, destination and other information). After obtaining these customs declarations, the customs will screen out the customs declaration data that meet the statistical conditions, and directly calculate other sub-items such as import and export data and commodity structure on this basis. In the whole process, the customs mainly plays the role of statistics, and does not need other data to calculate. In other words, the data on the customs declaration submitted by the customs will directly enter the customs database and become the basic data of the customs import and export accounting, which is also doomed to a large monthly fluctuation of export data.

　　In addition, it can be seen from the export sub-items and PMI indicators that the exports in March and April did not mainly depend on the regulated industrial enterprises.According to the export data by enterprise type, compared with state-owned enterprises, collective enterprises and foreign-invested enterprises, the cumulative export of other types of enterprises (mainly private enterprises) rebounded significantly in March compared with the same period of last year. From the index of PMI new export orders, the increase of PMI new export orders of small enterprises was the most obvious in January and February, and once surpassed that of large enterprises in February. Small enterprises other than industrial enterprises are still an important force to drive exports. This can also explain to a certain extent that it is not surprising that export delivery value and the export volume deviated in March and April.

　　Third,Does the deviation of import and export growth rate beyond market expectations mean that the authenticity of export data is suspicious?

　　At present, China is still a major producer in the world, and the growth rates of imports and exports are synchronized in most of the time. However, because of the great differences in the structure of major commodities of imports and exports, in the case of PPI price disturbance, the growth rates of imports and exports often deviate, not only in March and April.When PPI is at a low level year-on-year, "price" has a great drag on the total import volume, and the export growth rate is often significantly higher than the import growth rate; On the contrary, when PPI is at a high level, "price" becomes the main pulling item of total imports, and the growth rate of imports is obviously higher than that of exports. At present, PPI is at a low point in the historical quantile, so it is natural that the export growth rate is greater than the import growth rate.

　　In fact, it is not only our country that the growth rate of import and export deviates, but also the United States, Japan, the European Union and South Korea, which are the main final consumer goods countries, often deviate from each other. More often, the growth rate of imports is greater than that of exports, which is mutually evidenced by China’s role as a big producer.

　　Fourth,The difference between the data published by the importing country and the data published by the importing country may be more due to statistical standards, re-export trade of some products and other factors than false reporting.

　　Because we use the total amount of FOB goods for export statistics, and the total amount of FOB goods or CIF goods for import statistics for export destinations from China, there is a gap between the two, such as freight and other expenses. Generally speaking, the total amount of China’s exports to export destinations should be less than the total amount of China’s imports from export destinations, but this is not the case.

　　China’s exports to Singapore and Vietnam are obviously larger than the imports from China announced by the other side, which is mainly due to the existence of entrepot trade.From the perspective of specific commodities, the difference between China and Singapore is mainly contributed by plastic products, clothing and its accessories, luggage and similar containers, furniture and its parts in labor-intensive products, household appliances, auto parts, lamps and general machinery and equipment in mechanical and electrical products, but this phenomenon does not exist in other commodities, especially high-tech commodities. The difference between China and Vietnam is mainly contributed by plastic products and textile yarns, fabrics and their products in labor-intensive products. In 2021, the total statistical difference between the two types of goods is 5.5 billion US dollars, accounting for 69% of the statistical difference of labor-intensive products in 2021.

　　In addition, as important countries of final consumer goods, the amount of imports from China announced by the United States and the European Union is also different from the amount of trade exported to two countries or regions by China, which is mainly caused by many factors such as statistical standards, time differences, transportation costs and tariff sanctions.From the historical data, with the end of 2019 as the dividing point, since 2020, the difference between China’s exports to the United States and the United States’ imports from China has turned from negative to positive. From the perspective of commodities, it is mainly contributed by labor-intensive plastic products, furniture and its parts, clothing and its accessories, lamps and lighting devices and their parts in electromechanical commodities and household appliances. On the contrary, the difference between China’s exports to the EU and the EU’s imports from China has been in the normal fluctuation range of positive and negative for a long time, and this difference began to turn negative in 2022. From the perspective of specific commodities, the average export value of other commodities except furniture spare parts is smaller than the EU’s imports from China, and this gap has obviously increased since 2022.In addition to the conventional factors such as differences in statistical standards, time differences and entrepot trade, China is also a big country of final consumer goods. In recent years,’s exports to the United States-the United States imports from China and China exports to the European Union-the European Union imports from China are so different. The possible reasons are as follows: First, American importers deliberately understate their imports from China to avoid import tariff sanctions. Compared with 2016 and 2017, the difference between China’s exports to the United States-the United States imports from China has shrunk significantly since 2018. Second, compared with other countries, the energy crisis in Europe is more serious in 2022, and the freight for the import and export of goods is obviously higher, which directly causes the EU’s import from China-China’s export to the EU to jump sharply. This phenomenon not only occurs in China-EU trade, but also exists in other trade exchanges such as South Korea and Europe.

　　Five,The reason why export performance exceeds market expectations is more the result of diversification of export commodity structure and export destination.

　　As previously analyzed, false export report can’t be the main driving force for the high export growth rate in March and April, so what is the main reason why China’s export growth rate has exceeded expectations when the export growth rate of other countries such as South Korea and Vietnam has obviously declined? We think there are the following factors:

　　1) The high export growth rate in March was mainly the comprehensive result of the release of the backlog of export orders in the previous period and the successive delivery of overseas orders.We provide two pieces of evidence: First, export delivery value in March (mainly counting the current period) was significantly narrower than that in December 2022, but the year-on-year growth rate was still negative, which indicated that the growth rate of export in March was the common result of the current and previous inventory squeeze; Second, after the liberalization of the epidemic prevention and control policy, many provinces began to organize groups to go abroad to grab orders, which directly led to a rapid increase in PMI new export orders in January and February 2023.Different from March, export delivery value jumped from-5.4% to 0.7% in April, and the export was more contributed by the shipment value produced in the current period.

　　2) As we mentioned in previous reports, the supply advantage of China is largely due to the integrity of the industrial chain. The integrity of the industrial chain enables domestic export enterprises to better cope with the changes in the international trade situation than other countries. We have counted the data of major export commodities since 2017. Compared with before the epidemic, the contribution of plastic products, textile yarns, fabrics and their products, shoes and boots, ceramic products, toys, automatic data processing equipment and its parts, mobile phones, audio equipment and its parts, integrated circuits, medical instruments and instruments to the overall export volume increased greatly during the epidemic. On the contrary, the contribution of agricultural products, refined oil, luggage and similar containers, steel products, wrought aluminum and aluminum products, and general machinery and equipment to the overall export volume has been significantly reduced.According to the export data of the last four months, the structure of China’s main export commodities has obviously gradually moved closer to that before the epidemic, and the advantages of complete industrial chain can indeed enable enterprises to switch commodity structures to adapt to global demand in a short time. It is worth noting that compared with before the epidemic, the contribution of automobiles (including chassis) and auto parts to the total export volume has been on the rise, and it has become the main commodity driving the export growth rate.

　　3) In addition to the changes in the structure of export commodities, China’s main export destinations are also more diversified.From the historical data, the manufacturing PMI in the euro zone and the manufacturing PMI in the United States are in line with the change trend of China’s export growth rate, which means that the decline of China’s export growth rate in 2023 still largely depends on the degree of economic recession in Europe and America.However, thanks to China’s active participation in regional trade, expansion of trade network and continuous deepening of economic and trade cooperation with non-European and American countries, the "Belt and Road", ASEAN and Russia have significantly increased the driving force for China’s export growth, among which ASEAN, Brazil, Russia, India, South Africa and Indonesia account for an increasing proportion of China’s total exports.As far as the export data in April is concerned, the contribution rates of Russia, ASEAN, South Africa and Brazil to the overall export growth rate are 2.14%, 0.73%, 0.28% and 0.17% respectively.

　　Six,The fact that the export growth rate will shift does not mean that the export growth rate will continue to decline this year.

　　We are in "Do you need to shift gears for export growth? It is mentioned in the article that from May to July, the export growth rate will be continuously shifted, but this does not mean that the export growth rate will continue to decline this year.From the indicators published in China, the PMI value of new export orders dropped in April, but this will not immediately lead to a sharp drop in exports in May. According to historical data, PMI new export orders are often about 2-3 months ahead of exports, so the real pressure of export growth is mainly concentrated in June and July. However, due to the high export base in May last year, we believe that the export growth rate in May will be lower than that in April.

　　Although compared with last year, the overall export growth rate in the whole year has been set to a downward trend, there is a high probability that the export growth rate in the whole year will still be positive. From May to December, the export growth rate showed a trend of "falling first and then rising".The absolute change of export value and the marginal change of export growth rate cannot escape three key factors: supply, demand and comparative advantage. In 2023, China’s supply advantage still exists, and the latest data released shows that the export share advantage is still better than before the epidemic. The main uncertainty that determines the specific growth rate of exports comes from the overseas demand side. At present, in the context of the global economic slowdown, China’s export commodities and export destinations have good highlights. Although the driving force of American exports to China does show a decreasing trend, the contribution of countries other than the United States to China’s exports should not be underestimated.

　　Risk warning:

　　The overseas economic recession has exceeded expectations.

　　The above content comes from May 17, 2023, "Is there really moisture in export data?" Report by Zhang Jingjing and Zhang Yiping.